National Symposium on the Great Plains Tornado Outbreak of 3 May 1999

Toward a Unified Approach of Understanding, Prediction,
Warning, Response, and Recovery


April 30 - May 3, 2000
Westin Hotel and Resort, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

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Sunday, 30 April 2000 PUBLIC SAFE ROOM AND UNDERGROUND TORNADO SHELTER EXPOSITION, sponsored by keepSafe Industries, Inc.
2:00 - 2:15 pm Welcome by Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier, Symposium Chair
2:15 - 2:30 pm Remarks by Mike Armstrong, Associate Director for Mitigation, Federal Emergency Management Agency. Grand Pavillion
2:30 - 6:00 pm Exposition for the general public. Vendor booths, technology demonstrations, and storm videos will be available for viewing. Grand Pavillion
Monday, 1 May 2000
7:30 - 8:00 am Arrival and registration. Coffee and pastries. Century Foyer
OPENING CEREMONIES AND KEYNOTE PRESENTATION. Century Ballroom
8:00 - 8:40 am Welcome by Dr. Kelvin Droegemeier, Symposium Chair and Dr. John T. Snow, Dean of the College of Geosciences, University of Oklahoma and Director of Oklahoma Weather Center Programs.
Welcome and opening remarks by The Honorable Frank Keating, Governor of Oklahoma
8:40 - 9:10 am Symposium Keynote Presentation: A MULTI-DISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVE OF THE MAY 3 TORNADO DISASTER. D. Burgess, WSR-88D Operational Support Facility.
SESSION I: SOCIETAL IMPACTS (Dr. John Snow, Chair). Century Ballroom
9:10 - 9:30 am CRISIS MANAGEMENT. D. Griffin, Griffin Television, LLC.
9:30 - 9:50 am ONE FOR THE RECORD BOOKS: OG&E'S RESPONSE TO THE MAY 3RD STORMS. P. Renfrow and T. Turnipseed, OG&E Electric Services.
9:50 - 10:10 am THE 3 MAY 1999 OKLAHOMA CITY TORNADO: DEATHS FROM THE HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE. H. Brooks, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory.
10:10 - 10:30 am BREAK, sponsored by Heartland Storm Shelters, Inc. Century Foyer
SESSION I (continued): SOCIETAL IMPACTS (Dr. John Snow, Chair). Century Ballroom
10:30 - 10:50 am TORNADO-RELATED MORTALITY ON MAY 3, 1999 IN OKLAHOMA. W. Daley, P. Archer, S. Mallonee, F. Jordan, and S. Asher, Centers for Disease Control, Oklahoma State Department of Health, and Oklahoma State Medical Examiner.
10:50 - 11:10 am EPIDEMIOLOGY OF TORNADO INJURIES ON MAY 3, 1999. P. Archer, S. Brown, E. Kruger, and S. Mallonee, Oklahoma State Department of Health.
11:10 - 11:30 am USE OF VEHICLES TO FLEE THE 3 MAY 1999 TORNADO: REASONS AND RELATIVE INJURY RATES. B. Hammer and T. Schmidlin, Kent State University.
11:45 - 1:30 pm The Baron Services, Inc. Symposium Luncheon with David L. Boren, President of The University of Oklahoma, presiding. Grand Pavillion. Remarks by The Honorable Mary Fallin, Lieutenant Governor of Oklahoma, and commemoration ceremony for those whose lives were changed by the May 3rd tornadoes. Invited keynote speaker Mike Armstrong, FEMA Associate Director for Mitigation.
SESSION I (continued): SOCIETAL IMPACTS (Dr. John Snow, Chair). Century Ballroom
1:30 - 1:50 pm TULSA'S VISION 2020 -- CREATING A DISASTER RESISTANT COMMUNITY. A. Patton, Tulsa Project Impact Program; E. Kiesling, Texas Tech University; and E. Miller, BSW Architects and Project Vision 2020.
1:50 - 2:10 pm HOW SAFE IS YOUR SCHOOL'S TORNADO EMERGENCY PLAN? A. Melvin, Oklahoma Climatological Survey.
2:10 - 2:30 pm AN ASSESSMENT OF WIND DAMAGE USING TAX ASSESSOR DATA. J. Kruse, Texas Tech University; K Simmons, D. Smith, and M. Thompson, Oklahoma City University.
2:30 - 2:50 pm TORNADOES, STRESS, AND MIGRATION DECISIONS: EVIDENCE FROM OKLAHOMA CITY. B. McCain and J. Willner, Oklahoma City University.
SESSION II: OBSERVATIONS (Mr. Don Burgess, Chair). Century Ballroom
2:50 - 3:10 pm ENHANCED DETECTION OF TORNADOES ON 3 MAY 1999 USING PROTOTYPE FINE-RESOLUTION WSR-88D MEASUREMENTS. R. Brown and V. Wood, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory.
3:10 - 3:30 pm DOPPLER ON WHEELS OBSERVATIONS OF THE 3 MAY 1999 OKLAHOMA TORNADOES. J. Wurman, University of Oklahoma.
3:30 - 3:50 pm BREAK, sponsored by Heartland Storm Shelters, Inc. Century Foyer
SESSION II (continued): OBSERVATIONS (Mr. Don Burgess, Chair). Century Ballroom
3:50 - 4:10 pm FINESCALE WIND OBSERVATIONS IN A TORNADO ON 3 MAY 1999 USING THE UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS 3 MM WAVELENGTH MOBILE DOPPLER RADAR. H. Bluestein, University of Oklahoma.
4:10 - 4:30 pm MAY 3 TORNADIC SUPERCELLS VIEWED FROM SPACE DURING AN OVERPASS OF THE NASA TRMM OBSERVATORY. S. Goodman, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; D. Buechler and K. Driscoll, University of Alabama at Huntsville; D. Burgess, WSR-88D Operational Support Facility; M. Magsig, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies.
4:30 - 4:50 pm SUMMARY OF MOBILE MESONET OBSERVATIONS ON 3 MAY 1999. P. Markowski, University of Oklahoma.
4:50 - 5:10 pm ANALYSIS OF TORNADO DAMAGE TRACKS FOR THE MAY 3RD TORNADO OUTBREAK USING HIGH-RESOLUTION SATELLITE IMAGERY AND GIS. M. Yuan and M. Dickens-Micozzi, University of Oklahoma; M. Magsig, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies.
5:10 - 5:30 pm A SATELLITE PERSPECTIVE OF THE 3 MAY 1999 GREAT PLAINS TORNADO OUTBREAK AND COMMENTS ON LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. D. Bikos, J. Weaver, B. Zajac, and B. Motta, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere.
5:30 - 5:50 pm THE OPERATIONAL VALUE OF GROUND-BASED ATMOSPHERIC EMITTED RADIANCE INTERFEROMETER (AERI) FOR NOWCASTING CONVECTIVE INITIATION. CASE ANALYSIS: THE 3 MAY 1999 OKLAHOMA TORNADO OUTBREAK. W. Feltz and J. Mecikalski, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies.
6:00 - 7:00 pm The Baron Services, Inc. Symposium Icebreaker. Grand Pavillion
7:00 - 9:00 pm Technology demonstrations, poster presentations, and vendor booths. Grand Pavillion and Century Foyer
Media interviews. Press Room (318)
Tuesday, 2 May 2000
7:30 - 8:30 am Arrival and registration. Coffee and pastries. Century Foyer
SESSION III: FORECASTING AND WARNING (Dr. Charles Doswell III, Chair). Century Ballroom
8:30 - 8:45 am BEYOND THE NOWCAST RANGE: 24 HOUR FORECAST GUIDANCE CONCERNING CONVECTIVE INITIATION AND MODE FOR THE GREAT PLAINS TORNADO OUTBREAK OF 3 MAY 1999. P. Roebber, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee; D. Schultz, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory; R. Thompson, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center.
8:45 - 9:00 am THE CHALLENGES OF FORECASTING THE MAY 3 EVENT BEYOND 12 HOURS. D. McCarthy and J. Evans, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center.
9:00 - 9:15 am AN OVERVIEW OF THE DECISION MAKING PROCESS DURING THE 3 MAY 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK IN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN KANSAS. M. Vescio, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center.
9:15 - 9:30 am WARNING OPERATIONS AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE DURING THE MAY 3, 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK. D. Andra, NOAA/ Norman National Weather Service Forecast Office.
9:30 - 9:45 am THE USE OF GROUND-TRUTH REPORTS IN THE WARNING DECISION MAKING PROCESS DURING THE MAY 3, 1999 OKLAHOMA TORNADO OUTBREAK. D. McCarthy, NOAA/Norman National Weather Service Forecast Office.
9:45 - 10:00 am THE KWTV WARNING ENVIRONMENT DURING THE MAY 3, 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK. G. England, KWTV Television.
10:00 - 10:15 am GETTING THE MESSAGE TO THE PUBLIC. D. Threlkeld, KFOR Television.
10:15 - 10:30 am THE KILLER TORNADO OUTBREAK OF 3 MAY 1999: APPLICATIONS OF OK-FIRST IN RURAL COMMUNITIES. K. Crawford, Oklahoma Climatological Survey.
10:30 - 10:50 am BREAK, sponsored by keepSafe Industries, Inc. Century Foyer.
SESSION III (continued): FORECASTING AND WARNING (Dr. Charles Doswell III, Chair). Century Ballroom
10:50 - 11:05 am THE 3-4 MAY 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK: A TEST OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MODERNIZATION. E. Howieson and C. Hodges, NOAA/Tulsa National Weather Service Forecast Office.
11:05 - 11:20 am THE APPLICATION OF ADVANCED SEVERE WEATHER DETECTION TECHNOLOGY FOR TELEVISION: AN ASSESSMENT OF THE PERFORMANCE OF VIPIR ON MAY 3, 1999. G. Wilson, L. Lemon, J. Piotrowski, M. Dickerson, and B. Baron, Baron Services.
11:45 - 1:00 pm The AAB Building System, Inc. Symposium Luncheon with guest speaker Bill Proenza, Director of the National Weather Service Southern Region Headquarters. Grand Pavillion.
1:00 - 2:30 pm PANEL DISCUSSION I: PERFORMANCE OF THE FORECAST, WARNING, AND RESPONSE SYSTEMS ON 3 MAY 1999. Century Ballroom
Moderated by K. Crawford, Oklahoma Climatological Survey.
Panelists: D. McCarthy, NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office
G. England, KWTV Television
D. Threlkeld, KFOR Television
B. Baron, Baron Services
M. Vescio, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center
B. Frizzell, Oklahoma Civil Emergency Management Agency
R. Smith, NOAA/NWS Southern Region Headquarters
Sue Mallonee, Oklahoma State Department of Health
P. Renfrow, OG&E Electic Services
SESSION IV: MODELING AND ANALYSIS (Dr. Fred Carr, Chair). Century Ballroom
2:30 - 2:50 pm MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY BEHIND VISUALLY OBSERVED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND MORPHOLOGIES ON 3 MAY 1999. R. Edwards and R. Thompson, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center.
2:50 - 3:10 pm EXPLICIT PREDICTION OF THE MOORE, OKLAHOMA TORNADIC SUPERCELL USING SINGLE-DOPPLER RETRIEVED FIELDS FROM WSR-88D LEVEL II DATA. J. Levit, S. Weygandt, K. Droegemeier, R. Carpenter, A. Shapiro, K. Brewster, and G. Bassett, University of Oklahoma.
3:10 - 3:30 pm VERIFICATION OF THE ARPS 3 KM STORM FORECASTS ON MAY 3, 1999. D. Jahn, E. Kemp, J. Finley, and K. Droegemeier, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms.
3:30 - 3:45 pm BREAK, sponsored by keepSafe Industries, Inc. Century Foyer
SESSION IV (continued): MODELING AND ANALYSIS (Dr. Fred Carr, Chair). Century Ballroom
3:45 - 4:05 pm PHASE-CORRECTION DATA ASSIMILATION APPLIED TO THE 3 MAY 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK. K. Brewster, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms.
4:05 - 4:25 pm THE MAY 3, 1999 SOUTH WICHITA TORNADIC SUPERCELL: A CLOSER EXAMINATION. P. Wolfe, Wichita National Weather Service Forecast Office.
4:25 - 4:45 pm MESOSCALE 4DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE GREAT PLAINS TORNADO OUTBREAK. D. Zupanski, M. Zupanski, D. Parrish, G. DiMego, and E. Rogers, NOAA/National Centers for Environmental Prediction.
4:45 - 5:05 pm A PAST AND FUTURE LOOK AT THE RAPID UPDATE CYCLE FOR THE 3 MAY 1999 SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK. S. Benjamin, T. Smith, B. Schwartz, G. Grell, and J. Brown, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory.
5:05 - 5:25 pm SOME ASPECTS OF MESOSCALE MODEL FORECASTS FOR 3 MAY 1999. S. Weiss, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center; J. Kain and M. Baldwin, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies; J. Hart, NOAA/Storm Prediction Center; and D. Stensrud, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory.
5:25 - 5:45 pm PERFORMANCE OF THE STORM CELL IDENTIFICATION AND TRACKING ALGORITHM DURING THE MAY 3-4, 1999 OKLAHOMA TORNADO OUTBREAK. W. Zittel, WSR-88D Operational Support Facility.
5:45 - 6:00 pm PERFORMANCE OF THE NSSL WARNING DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM DURING THE MAY 3, 1999 CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TORNADO OUTBREAK. P. Burke, Gregory J. Stumpf, E. DeWayne Mitchell, Chirstina D. Hannon, and Valerie K. McCoy, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory; and D. Andra, Norman National Weather Service Forecast Office.
6:00 - 6:20 pm EmTRAC MOBILE EMERGENCY TRAINING AND RESPONSE CENTER. A. Vaccaro, American Red Cross.
6:30 - 7:30 pm Technology demonstrations, poster viewing, and vendor booths. Grand Pavillion and Century Foyer
Media interviews. Press Room (318)
6:30 - 7:30 pm Workshop on Funding Opportunities at the National Science Foundation. Coordinated by Dr. Stephan Nelson, Ms. Vanessa Richardson, and Dr. Nancy Dixon, National Science Foundation. Red Carpet Country Room
7:30 - 9:00 pm The Phillips Petroleum Company Symposium Dinner with keynote speaker Dr. James F. Kimpel, Director of the NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory. Grand Pavillion
Wednesday, 3 May 2000
7:30 - 8:30 am Arrival and registration. Coffee and pastries. Century Foyer
SESSION V: SHELTER TECHNOLOGY AND WIND ENGINEERING (Dr. Ernie Kiesling, Chair). Century Ballroom
8:30 - 8:45 am ESTIMATES OF THE DURATION OF DAMAGING WINDS IN SELECTED LOCATIONS FROM THE MAY 3, 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK. R. Howard, A. Doggett, and A. Gardner, Texas Tech University.
8:45 - 9:00 am SINGLE-FAMILY RESIDENTIAL DAMAGE AND ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS. A. Gardner and K. Mehta, Texas Tech University.
9:00 - 9:15 am RESIDENTIAL STORM SHELTERS: THE BIRTH OF AN INDUSTRY. E. Kiesling, Texas Tech University; K. Simmons, Oklahoma City University.
9:15 - 9:30 am TAKING SHELTER: ESTIMATING THE SAFETY BENEFITS OF TORNADO SAFEROOMS. D. Merrell, US Bureau of the Census; H. Heinz III, Carnegie Mellon University; K. Simmons, Oklahoma City University; D. Sutter, University of Oklahoma.
9:30 - 9:45 am TAKING SHELTER FROM THE STORM: BUILDING A SAFE ROOM INSIDE YOUR HOUSE. B. Coulbourne, Greenhorne & O'Mara, Inc.; and D. Andrake and D. Lee, Federal Emergency Management Agency.
9:45 - 10:00 am FEMA'S BUILDING PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT TEAM REPORT ON THE MAY 3, 1999 TORNADO OUTBREAK. C. Oliver, Federal Emergency Management Agency and S. Tezak, Greenhorne & O'Mara, Inc.
10:00 - 10:15 am THE FEMA COMMUNITY SHELTER PROJECT. S. Tezak, Greenhorne & O'Mara, Inc.; and P. Tertell, Federal Emergency Management Agency.
10:00 - 10:15 am SAFEROOMS TAKE TULSA BY STORM -- BUILDER'S SUCCESS STORIES. J. Fowler, Home Builders Association of Tulsa; E. Kiesling, Texas Tech University; A. Patton, Tulsa Project Impact Program.
10:30 - 10:50 am BREAK, sponsored by Conoco. Century Foyer
SESSION V (continued): SHELTER TECHNOLOGY AND WIND ENGINEERING (Dr. Ernie Kiesling, Chair). Century Ballroom
10:50 - 11:05 am PERFORMANCE OF SHELTERS IN THE OKLAHOMA CITY AND KANSAS STORMS OF 3 MAY 1999. L. Tanner, Texas Tech University.
11:05 - 11:20 am A DAMAGE SURVEY OF MOORE: WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED? T. Marshall, Haag Engineering Company.
11:20 - 11:35 pm THE DESIGN OF AN ABOVE-GROUND STORM SHELTER FOR THE MULHALL-ORLANDO PUBLIC SCHOOL. J. Buckley, Architects in Partnership.
11:35 - 11:50 am LESSONS LEARNED FROM THE DESTRUCTION BY THE 3 MAY 1999 OKLAHOMA CITY TORNADO. C. Doswell III, NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory.
noon - 1:30 pm The Conoco, Inc. Symposium Luncheon with guest speaker Carroll Fisher, Oklahoma Insurance Commissioner. Century Ballroom.
1:30 - 3:00 pm PANEL DISCUSSION II: THE FUTURE OF SHELTER TECHNOLOGY. Century Ballroom
Moderated by K. Mehta, Texas Tech University
Panelists: J. Buckley, Architects in Partnership
E. Kiesling, Texas Tech University
K. Simmons, Oklahoma City University
C. Oliver, Federal Emergency Management Agency
J. Fowler, Home Builders Association of Tulsa
T. Marshall, Haag Engineering Company
E. Miller, BSW Architects
3:00 - 3:30 pm BREAK, sponsored by Conoco. Century Foyer
3:30 - 4:45 pm PANEL DISCUSSION III: BUILDING MUNICIPAL, STATE, AND FEDERAL PARTNERSHIPS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. Century Ballroom
Moderated by A. Ashwood, Oklahoma Department of Emergency Management
Panelists: G. Marrs, Chief, Oklahoma City Fire Department
T. Sartorius, CEO, Oklahoma Chapter of the American Red Cross
A. Patton, Tulsa Project Impact Program
R. Young, Federal Emergency Management Agency
S. Nelson, National Science Foundation
P. Combs, Chairman of the Oklahoma Insurance Adjusters Roundtable
The Hon. K. Humphries, Mayor of Oklahoma City
The Hon. J.E. Parker, Mayor of Chickasha
The Hon. G. Lewis, Mayor of Moore
The Hon. J. Hankins, Mayor of Stroud
The Hon. J. Greenwood, State Representative, Moore
The Hon. K. Calvey, State Representative, Del City
The Hon. M. Woolley, City Manager, Newcastle
4:45 - 5:00 pm Closing remarks. Century Ballroom.
5:00 pm Symposium ends.